Chelsea FC and Dynamo Kyiv wrap up their Europa League Round-of-16 tie on Thursday. Chelsea hold a three goal lead in the tie after shutting Dynamo Kyiv at Stamford Bridge.
Dynamo Kyiv have a steep mountain to climb in the second leg of their Europa League tie against Chelsea. The Ukrainian side has been in difficult positions in this competition before. Back in 2015, Dynamo Kyiv was able to turn around a first leg loss at Premier League’s Everton. Kyiv lost the first leg 2-1 in England, but was able to put on a stellar home performance, turning around the tie with a 5-2 victory, winning by a 6-4 goal aggregate. This year’s Dynamo Kyiv side have been a strong home side in their domestic league so far, winning 27 of a possible 33 points, outscoring opponents 23-3 in 11 matches. Just last match, Dynamo Kyiv dominated their opponents, scoring four first half goals, winning 4-0 at home. Don’t be surprised if Dynamo Kyiv make this tie interesting with a strong home performance.
Dynamo Kyiv has been in good form as of late, going 4-1-1 in their last six matches. Their only loss in the last eight matches came against Chelsea in their first leg meeting. As a home team in the Europa League, Dynamo Kyiv have went 1-1-1. In their last five home games across all competitions, Dynamo Kyiv is 4-0-1.
Dynamo Kyiv Europa League Form
|07.03.2019||LOSS||Chelsea v Dynamo Kyiv||3 – 0 (HT 1 – 0)||Round of 16 Leg 1 of 2|
|21.02.2019||WIN||Dynamo Kyiv v Olympiacos||1 – 0 (HT 1 – 0)||Round of 32 Leg 2 of 2|
|14.02.2019||DRAW||Olympiacos v Dynamo Kyiv||2 – 2 (HT 2 – 1)||Round of 32 Leg 1 of 2|
|13.12.2018||LOSS||Dynamo Kyiv v Jablonec||0 – 1 (HT 0 – 1)||Group Stage 6 of 6|
|29.11.2018||WIN||Astana v Dynamo Kyiv||0 – 1 (HT 0 – 1)||Group Stage 5 of 6|
Chelsea dominated the first leg against Dynamo Kyiv, possessing 59% percent of the ball. The Blues were efficient with this possession, recording 12 shots, eight of which were on target. Willian and Pedro each scored for Chelsea, and played as the catalysts for an effective Chelsea attack. The second leg will call for a different, more defensive performance from Chelsea. After keeping a clean sheet in the first leg, they have put themselves in an ideal position, as they just have to maintain their three goal lead. This bodes well for The Blues, who have performed at a high level on defense in recent weeks, conceding just two goals in their last five matches. Manager Maurizio Sarri has rarely stuck with the same four in his defense for consecutive games, but a defensively demanding match like Thursday’s will likely see Chelsea’s strongest personnel in the back line. Cesar Azpilicueta will be the first name on the team sheet at right back, and will likely be supported by a centre back pairing of Antonio Rudiger and David Luiz. Emerson Palmieri and Marcos Alonso have split time at left back, but Sarri has chosen Palmieri in all seven of the Europa League matches, and will likely give the Italian the nod on Thursday. Look for a defensive game plan and formation from Chelsea against Kyiv.
Chelsea has been in solid from ahead of their second leg fixture in Kyiv. The Blues have went 4-1-1 in their last six matches. In away matches, Chelsea have been undefeated in the Europa League, going 2-1-0. In their last five away matches across all competitions, Chelsea have a record of 2-0-3.
Chelsea Away Premier League Form
|07.03.2019||WIN||Chelsea v Dynamo Kyiv||3 – 0 (HT 1 – 0)||Round of 16 Leg 1 of 2|
|21.02.2019||WIN||Chelsea v Malmo||3 – 0 (HT 0 – 0)||Round of 32 Leg 2 of 2|
|14.02.2019||WIN||Malmo v Chelsea||1 – 2 (HT 0 – 1)||Round of 32 Leg 1 of 2|
|13.12.2018||DRAW||Vidi v Chelsea||2 – 2 (HT 1 – 1)||Group Stage 6 of 6|
|29.11.2018||WIN||Chelsea v PAOK||4 – 0 (HT 2 – 0)||Group Stage 5 of 6|
Head to Head Statistics
|07.03.2019||Europa League 1/16||Chelsea v Dynamo Kyiv||3 – 0 (HT 1 – 0)|
|04.11.2015||Champions League Groups||Chelsea v Dynamo Kyiv||2 – 1 (HT 1 – 0)|
|20.10.2015||Champions League Groups||Dynamo Kyiv v Chelsea||0 – 0 (HT 0 – 0)|
Here are how the odds to win the match look from the bookies ahead of the game.
Odds taken at 17:00 GMT 13/03/2019
- Six of the last seven Dynamo Kyiv matches have went over 2.5 goals (counting only competitive matches)
- Chelsea is undefeated in their last four matches
- Chelsea has kept four clean sheets in their last six matches
Our Verdict and Best Bets
The task for Chelsea will be straightforward in their second leg against Kyiv, simply protect their three goal lead. Dynamo Kyiv will come out firing with nothing to lose. The Ukrainian side are an exciting home team who have the potential to find the back of the net multiple times. If Kyiv can get an early goal, this tie will get interesting very quick. We predict the home side finds a goal, but Chelsea will keep it tight at the back, with a low scoring game that will result in Chelsea moving on to the quarterfinals of the Europa League.